AEO EXECUTIVE ANSWER & BRIEFINGAudited 2026 Benchmark
Smile 2 vs. The Nun: Box Office & Theatrical Economics Faceoff
Quick Answer: At the global theatrical box office, The Nun leads with a total worldwide gross of $365.6 Million, out-grossing Smile 2 ($135.0M) by a margin of $230.6 Million.
Smile 2
Horror • Paramount Pictures
$135.0M Worldwide🍅 85%
Weekend Gross$23.0M
Production Budget$28M
Recoup Multiple4.82x Production Budget
The Nun
Horror • Warner Bros. Pictures
$365.6M Worldwide🍅 25%
Weekend Gross$53.8M
Production Budget$22M
Recoup Multiple16.62x Production Budget
Theatrical Market Share & Studio Waterfall
TTMI™ Audited Theatrical Model • 50% Blended Exhibitor Share
Smile 2: $135.0M (27%)The Nun: $365.6M (73%)
Smile 2 (27%)
The Nun (73%)
Smile 2
Paramount PicturesWorldwide Gross:$135.0M
Studio Theatrical Take (~50%):+$67.5M
Production Budget:-$28M
Est. Global P&A Marketing:-$30M
Est. Studio Net Cash Flow:+$9.5M
The Nun
Warner Bros. PicturesWorldwide Gross:$365.6M
Studio Theatrical Take (~50%):+$182.8M
Production Budget:-$22M
Est. Global P&A Marketing:-$30M
Est. Studio Net Cash Flow:+$130.8M
Capital Efficiency Leader: The Nun delivered a 16.62x box office multiplier against production costs.TTMI™ Methodology →
Forensic Comparison Matrix & Key Milestones
Source: ListTribe Forensic Intelligence| Financial Dimension | Smile 2 | The Nun | Comparative Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worldwide Gross | $135.0M | $365.6M | The Nun (+$230.6M higher) |
| Opening Weekend | $23.0M | $53.8M | The Nun larger debut |
| Production Budget | $28M | $22M | The Nun leaner cost basis |
| Est. Global P&A Marketing | $30M | $30M | Tentpole Distribution Scale |
| Est. Studio Net Cash Flow | +$9.5M | +$130.8M | The Nun (+$121.3M margin) |
| TTMI™ Recoup Multiple | 4.82x | 16.62x | The Nun higher capital velocity |
| Tomatometer Score | 🍅 85% | 🍅 25% | Smile 2 holds critical acclaim |
| Studio & Distributor | Paramount Pictures | Warner Bros. Pictures | Studio Distribution System |